| From August 11, 2001 (Chicago Sun Times)
BY JONATHAN DEAN AND JONATHAN GRANOFF
In their July 22 meeting in Genoa, Italy, President Bush and Russian
President Vladimir Putin agreed to consider the topics of national missile
defense and further cuts in nuclear arsenals. While discussion is preferable
to confrontation, agreement here is by no means assured. Russia wants to
continue to have some influence over future U.S. missile defense developments.
Consequently, it might be willing to amend the ABM Treaty to give it
a handhold for the future. But it has instead become clear that the administration's
goal is to end the ABM Treaty, not to amend it. This goal contravenes the
pledge of the U.S. government and 186 other governments at the May 2000
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference to preserve and strengthen
the ABM Treaty ''as a cornerstone of strategic stability.''
Whatever the outcome of the ABM Treaty, U.S. moves on missile defense
will trigger two crucial developments. First, China would not be a party
to any U.S.-Russia understanding. Although missile defenses as now planned
probably would not work, Chinese military planners have to assume they
might work someday and could nullify China's own nuclear deterrent. This
will increase China's nuclear arsenal far beyond current modernization
plans. In a chain reaction, this development will stimulate increases in
the Indian and Pakistani arsenals.
The second crucial development is the expansion of the Bush missile
defense system to outer space. On July 17, Robert Snyder, executive director
of the Ballistic Missile Defense Organization, announced that the administration's
missile defense project includes funds for space-based lasers and interceptors.
This would be the decisive step in the arming of space--now an open realm
for all. Not only China and Russia but nearly the entire world community
opposes this. The norm against the weaponization of space and for keeping
armed conflict out of space and ensuring its peaceful use by hundreds of
communications and imaging satellites, is very strong. Breaching that norm
will elicit even more adverse reaction worldwide than the Bush administration's
unilateral withdrawal from the ABM Treaty. Why is the administration going
out of its way to add this highly sensitive issue to the already vigorous
controversy over national missile defense?
The 1967 Outer Space Treaty is based on ''the common interest of all
mankind in the progress of the exploration and use of space for peaceful
purposes'' as ''the province of all mankind.'' Compare that vision with
the U.S. Space Command's Long-Range Plan and Vision for 2020 (www.spacecom.af.mil/usspace/LRPTOC.htm).
In this plan, the United States pursues unilateral total domination of
land, sea, air, cyberspace and outer space through weapons and sensors
that would come from proposed sea, land, air and space-based missile defense
systems. Once a stealth effort led by a tight band of zealots in the Defense
Department, the weapons labs and U.S. Space Command, this strategy is now
championed by Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and is becoming embedded
in U.S. security policy.
The rushed deployment of a costly and almost certainly unworkable national
missile defense system makes no sense. But it does make sense if the underlying
motive is to use the missile defense issue as grounds for moving to the
weaponization of space and ultimately to its domination.
Repeated UN resolutions calling for the prevention of space weaponization
have been nearly unanimous and without any no votes. Recognizing this fact,
the United States, backed by only two small client states, has dared only
to abstain. The community of nations will not tolerate one country's dominance
of a weaponized space. Political and ultimately military challenges will
certainly be mounted to contest U.S. dominance.
Not only is this very bad for our security, it contradicts our identity
as a nation. Our country was founded in response to the actions of an over-reaching,
hegemonic empire. In placing weapons over everyone on the planet, the United
States is in peril of over-reaching itself.
Retired Ambassador Jonathan Dean, a longtime State Department arms control
negotiator, is now adviser on international security issues, Union of Concerned
Scientists. Jonathan Granoff is President of the Global Security Institute
and chairman of the American Bar Association Committee on Arms Control
and Disarmament and a Vice President of Lawyers Alliance for World Security.
See SPACEWAR article: Army's First Space Operations Course Ends
http://www.spacedaily.com/news/milspace-01w.html
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