By Walter Pincus Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, June 20, 2001; Page A08
An environmental advocacy group yesterday called on President Bush to
abolish the secret U.S. nuclear war plan directed against Russia, China
and other potential enemies, saying it is "a recipe for unceasing arms
requirements by the Pentagon and a continuing competition with Russia."
The Natural Resources Defense Council recommended reducing the U.S.
arsenal to a few hundred nuclear weapons and transferring nuclear war planning
to a civilian-military staff with congressional oversight.
The study is a reflection of the ferment taking place inside the Pentagon
and among arms control groups since the Bush administration launched a
major review of U.S. nuclear strategy. That review is expected to be completed
this summer.
Some scientists at U.S. weapons laboratories have called for a resumption
of underground nuclear testing and the development of new types of warheads.
Other experts have argued for mutual reductions in the American and Russian
arsenals.
Bush has held out the prospect of unilateral U.S. reductions, along
with efforts to build missile defenses and to develop a new strategic framework
for the post-Cold War era.
The nuclear war plan, known as the single integrated operation plan,
or SIOP, was first developed in 1960 at the height of the Cold War. It
called for thousands of warheads to be aimed at Soviet targets, including
factories, command bunkers, and nuclear and conventional military forces.
Under the latest SIOP, approved by President Bill Clinton in 1997, more
than 2,000 warheads are kept on constant alert on land- and sea-based missiles.
They are able to respond within 30 minutes in the event of a surprise attack
on the United States from Russia, China or another nation.
"At this stage in the disarmament process," the NRDC contended in a
report released yesterday, "a U.S. stockpile numbering in the hundreds
is more than adequate to achieve the single purpose of deterrence."
The organization's two-year study of simulated nuclear effects predicted
that even a U.S. strike that avoided big cities but attempted to knock
out Russian missile silos and other nuclear forces -- a "counterforce"
attack -- would kill 8 million to 12 million Russians.
A separate NRDC study concluded that a single U.S. Trident missile submarine,
which carries 192 nuclear warheads, could inflict "in excess of 50 million
casualties" if the missiles were aimed at Russian cities.
Referring to Bush's repeated statement that Russia is not an enemy,
the environmental group urged the administration to drop the SIOP and place
nuclear targeting on a "contingency" basis.
This would mean the United States would "not target any country specifically,
but create a contingency war planning capability to assemble attack plans
in the event of hostilities with another nuclear state," it said.
Robert S. Norris, a senior analyst for the NRDC, said, "Any proposal
by the Bush administration that does not abandon counterforce as the ruling
assumption and strategy for the war plan is flawed and dangerous."
The process of developing the SIOP begins with formal guidance from
the president on the broad goals of U.S. nuclear planning. The secretary
of defense then produces a policy on the use of nuclear weapons.
The Joint Chiefs of Staff refine that into a document that sets targeting
and damage criteria. Finally, the U.S. military's Strategic Command writes
the SIOP, setting specific targets and the number and type of warheads
aimed at them. The NRDC described the Strategic Command's war planners
as "a self-perpetuating constituency that needs fundamental reform."
Noting that the SIOP "has its own level of classification" far above
top secret, it said Congress "has been powerless" to affect or even scrutinize
the war plans.
For example, former senator Bob Kerrey (D-Neb.) tried during his last
two years in office to legislate a reduction in the number of U.S. nuclear
weapons and limit those on alert, but was repeatedly denied access to information
about the SIOP.
3. From: Яблоков
Ð?. Ð’. <yablokov@voxnet.ru> To: yablokov <yablokov@online.ru>
Sent: Sunday, June 24, 2001 6:17 PM
KAZAKHSTAN MULLS STORING FOREIGN NUCLEAR WASTE Reuters, June 19 ASTANA.
A senior Kazakhstan official said on Monday the vast but sparsely populated
Central Asian state might boost revenues by burying imported low-radioactivity
nuclear waste on its territory. Mukhtar Dzhakishev, head of the state nuclear
firm Kazatomprom, told parliament that Kazakhstan might earn $30-40 billion
in the next 25 to 30 years by storing foreign nuclear waste. Kazakhstan
is the size of Western Europe but has a population of only 15 million.
``This is a very lucrative business, and we may arrange deals under which
the government receives annual bonuses worth $200-500 million,'' Dzhakishev
told deputies. He said large amounts of waste could be buried in existing
opencast uranium mines in the western Mangistau region and sophisticated
storage technology would not be needed. ``Barrels with compressed low-radioactivity
waste are received, put in pits and covered with soil, and there is no
radiation on the surface,'' he said. Dzhakishev said Kazakhstan did not
possess technology which would allow it to process and store high-radioactivity
waste, but it could easily handle low-radioactivity waste like gloves,
overalls, and other material from foreign nuclear power plants. It was
not immediately clear whether or when the government would submit a draft
law to parliament. Dzhakishev gave no time frame or details of possible
deals with foreign nuclear plants. Earlier this month the lower chamber
of the Russian parliament adopted a bill that is likely to open Russia
to imports of spent nuclear fuel. Environmentalists and the public in Russia
who say it could turn the country into a nuclear dump have given the bill,
expected to be passed into law. Environmental concerns are also strong
in Kazakhstan, whose northeastern Semipalatinsk region underwent hundreds
of atmospheric, surface and underground nuclear tests in 1949-89. The Soviet-era
tests are blamed by scientists for a rising number of cancer cases and
birth defects among local people. |